Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $734.69
- Potential profit
- $734.69
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Polymarket Trader
0xAed7dE2Eb21793C020e61F96780989836Ea91598-1777395042974
0xaed7de2eb21793c020e61f96780989836ea91598
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.62
- Realized PnL
- $237.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.43
- Potential profit
- $195.43
- User PnL
- -$4.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.3
- Potential profit
- $159.3
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $152
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $111
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.9
- Potential profit
- $73.9
- User PnL
- -$10.05
Y
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $66.13
- Potential profit
- $65.87
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 33°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.25
- Potential profit
- $64.25
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.92
- Potential profit
- $57.92
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.4
- Potential profit
- $49.4
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.15
- Potential profit
- $49.15
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.3%
- Current value
- $36.89
- Potential payout
- $48.35
- Potential profit
- $11.46
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$3.43
No position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $41.86
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $9.18
- Potential payout
- $47.1
- Potential profit
- $37.91
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.45
- Potential profit
- $38.45
- User PnL
- -$9.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $8.43
- Potential payout
- $33.07
- Potential profit
- $24.63
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.07
- Potential profit
- $32.07
- User PnL
- -$29.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.72
- Potential profit
- $31.72
- User PnL
- -$10.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.3
- Potential profit
- $31.3
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.69
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Phoenix Mercury position
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
N
No position
Algeria leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?Yes 95.9% 45 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?Yes 88.8% 45.1 shares
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury 94% 49 shares
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury 81.1% 49.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 30% 33.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 89% 10.93 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes 21% 47.1 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 50% 40 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 76% 52.63 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 48% 31.25 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 72% 62.5 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes 67% 14.93 shares