Polymarket Trader

OutcomeUnclear

0xaee155cfcdbea58f38ae6dea1475a0198f443cea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $443.27
Realized PnL: $11.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.46K

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$21.13

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$584

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $562.5
Potential profit: $562.5
User PnL: -$450

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$260.1

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.21
Potential profit: $486.21
User PnL: -$384.94

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $298
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $102
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.4
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$39.8

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$152.1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $144.67
Potential payout: $219.2
Potential profit: $74.53
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$6.58

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.29
Potential profit: $142.29
User PnL: -$49.04

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.93
Potential profit: $78.93
User PnL: -$18.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.82K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $956.7

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.28

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $502.24

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.38

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.62

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.67

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.44

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.19

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.75

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $255.28

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.02

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.85

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $215.69

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.1

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Movsar Evloev position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.5

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.9

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 499.93 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 99.8% 2,000.09 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 60.5% 10 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 61% 281 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 59% 56.14 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 69% 219.2 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Yes 96% 500 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 46% 495 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 47% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 77% 600 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 78% 600 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 93.8% 98.13 shares