No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
per2plex
0xaee6c76396dfc806092f33428b4faadb52bbe759
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $120.4
- Realized PnL
- $845.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $26.85
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$23.15
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $708.93
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580.89
- Potential profit
- $580.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $549.17
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $413.54
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.79
- Potential payout
- $216.98
- Potential profit
- $208.19
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$11.21
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $26.92
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $126.92
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $6.92
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.79
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $132.07
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $16.95
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 7.19x
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $89.95
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.85
- Potential profit
- $72.85
- User PnL
- -$48.81
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $9.69
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $52.81
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $40.23
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$14.77
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $40.98
- Potential profit
- $33.18
- Multiplier
- 5.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.83
No position
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.33
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.57
No position
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.72
Yes position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.47
B8 position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72
B8 position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 13% 153.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 27% 74.07 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No 21.5% 56.82 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 3.2% 261.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp 17% 22.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp 21% 21.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp 23% 15.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp 31% 14.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown 19% 16.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown 22% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown 23% 19.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown 45% 4.09 shares