No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
Polymarket Trader
PolymarketNo.1
0xaef2f267f7f093b266fc4ee05d9d3e2f76c4b6a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90
- Realized PnL
- -$265.51
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $32.79
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Nepal position
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
OpenSea airdrop before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
Ends Jul 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$280.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.5% 50 shares
- Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Yes 99.5% 5.03 shares
- Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?Yes 99.6% 12.05 shares
- Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?Yes 99.6% 5.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?Up 61% 32.79 shares
- Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?Yes 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes 91.4% 10.94 shares
- OpenSea airdrop before July?No 98.3% 22.38 shares
- Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?No 99.2% 100.84 shares
- Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?Yes 94% 20 shares
- Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?Yes 94% 20 shares