No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $824.48
- Potential payout
- $926.38
- Potential profit
- $101.9
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $64.85
Polymarket Trader
vamosvamos
0xaef5c375ffdb249edc494b9904672edb9289dc5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $824.48
- Realized PnL
- -$385.12
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $203.93
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $61.99
No position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$662.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 82% 926.38 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 98.5% 776.58 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 135.56 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?No 81% 61.73 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 5.2% 910.8 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 78% 910.81 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 96.3% 750.14 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 88% 750.15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 78% 641.03 shares