Polymarket Trader

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0xaf008eb55ea4dbd63a1b93d6f3e6f2fb578c0c1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.01
Realized PnL: $7.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$23.3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.6
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$112.1

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$27

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $25.84
Potential payout: $184.56
Potential profit: $158.72
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$8.38

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$97.04

Yes position

Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $139.99
Potential profit: $139.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7.8

No position

Will Wyndham Clark lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $78.52
Potential profit: $78.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $59.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $8.28
Potential payout: $55.18
Potential profit: $46.9
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.2
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.75
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.1
Potential profit: $39.1
User PnL: -$8.21

Yes position

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.91
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $11.79
Potential profit: $10.62
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.75
Potential profit: $4.75
User PnL: -$0.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wild position

Wild vs. Capitals

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2K

Buccaneers position

Saints vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757.6

Predators position

Predators vs. Canucks

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $752.31

Heat position

Pelicans vs. Heat

Ends Jan 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.13

No position

Will Leicester win on 2025-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.4

No position

Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.75

Yes position

Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.61

No position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.4

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.13

Yes position

Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.13

No position

Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.85

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 49.5% 50 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 62.2% 50 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?

Yes 60% 155 shares
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 60% 10.58 shares
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?

No 68.8% 65 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 35.5% 35.99 shares
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?

No 6% 20 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

No 69% 9.52 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 49% 238.99 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 58% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22?

No 91% 43.3 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 39% 50 shares