Yes position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Polymarket Trader
Casey822
0xaf05c71415ee8720b1abd57fcab1496fa31b135b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $10.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 9–16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Netherlands be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 94.7% 34 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 73% 39 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 37 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 31 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 32 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.1% 29 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.8% 38 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.5% 38 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.2% 38 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.2% 38 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86.9% 37 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 94.3% 34 shares