Polymarket Trader

TheL0ngArrow

0xaf1aa94eb0781e769191adac870caac8e3c01988

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.32K
Realized PnL: $3.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $3.56K
Potential payout: $60.84K
Potential profit: $57.28K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$30.36

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $3.6K
Potential payout: $26.34K
Potential profit: $22.74K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$13.14

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $9.07K
Potential profit: $7.9K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$4.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.64
Potential profit: $12.64
User PnL: -$5.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.73

Yes position

Will India win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?

Ends Sep 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.22

No position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.84

Yes position

Will Chelsea beat Brighton?

Ends Sep 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.86

No position

Will Brighton beat Chelsea?

Ends Sep 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 200 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.8% 235 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 370 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 900 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 970 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 17,009.78 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 62,711.86 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 8,759.12 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 9,302.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Up 89% 15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Down 60% 16.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Up 36% 20 shares