No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $400.1K
- Potential profit
- $399.1K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.6K
Polymarket Trader
infolitio
0xaf2830f2dd4dfa32e3dffac60531bb4ba5147f92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.22K
- Realized PnL
- $49.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.94K
- Potential profit
- $129.94K
- User PnL
- -$53.23K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $8.49K
- Potential payout
- $99.84K
- Potential profit
- $91.35K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $7.45K
- Potential payout
- $36.36K
- Potential profit
- $28.91K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $9.07K
- Potential payout
- $27.92K
- Potential profit
- $18.84K
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.15K
- Potential profit
- $23.15K
- User PnL
- -$18.25K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.28K
- Potential profit
- $22.28K
- User PnL
- -$14.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $21.38K
- Potential payout
- $21.41K
- Potential profit
- $32.12
- User PnL
- $14.51K
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $35.08
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$55.11
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06K
- Potential profit
- $8.06K
- User PnL
- -$373.78
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $375
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$480
Steve Garcia position
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $124
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $676
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$243
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $42.63
- Potential payout
- $290.99
- Potential profit
- $248.36
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $35.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $8.97K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
Yes position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $798
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $621.55
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.35
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.41
Yes position
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 26?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.99
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $236.43
Michigan State Spartans position
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.54
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.65
Duke Blue Devils position
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 2.5% 290.99 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 21% 5,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 3,000 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Steve Garcia 50% 63.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 29% 17,846.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86.2% 2,408.33 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes 24% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 17.9% 321.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 388 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 14.2% 30,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.1% 1,254.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 18,514.86 shares