Polymarket Trader

Rast

0xaf33638521d56c67896e827716926199c3b21e17

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $157.73
Realized PnL: $78.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $17.85
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $52.15
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $14.19
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $51.81
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $23.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $36.9
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $53.46
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$16.06

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.2
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$16.58

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$15.37

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $51.62
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$16.17

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $37.7
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $13.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$17.25

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$8.6

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $18.62
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $19.38
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $9.54
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $26.46
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$9.9

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $32.71
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$16.52

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $14.96
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $19.04
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $14.11
Potential payout: $17.75
Potential profit: $3.64
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.35

No position

Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 78.4%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 31% 34 shares
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 42% 25 shares
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 52% 19 shares
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 58% 17 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 43.8% 22 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

No 29% 32 shares
Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 56% 16 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 39% 22 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 30% 16 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 20% 65.97 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 19% 80 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 19% 70 shares