0xaf3c92e8468782BF3461faF8352BD6612316dDd0-1776304850840

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $139.27
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $402.73
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $175.48

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $21.56
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $603.44
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $11.56

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $275
Potential profit: $260.01
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $3.99

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $20.22
Potential payout: $145.98
Potential profit: $125.76
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $9.42
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $79.87
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $12.28
Potential payout: $63.48
Potential profit: $51.2
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $36.87
Potential payout: $40.74
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $19.36
Potential payout: $32.81
Potential profit: $13.45
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$1.64

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $27.99
Potential payout: $28.77
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $19.71
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $8.86
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$2.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $23.51
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $24.15
Potential payout: $25.29
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 85.4%
Current value: $20.3
Potential payout: $23.77
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $22.99
Potential payout: $23.73
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $22.35
Potential payout: $23.66
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $21.99
Potential payout: $23.43
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $22.35
Potential payout: $23.4
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $23.4
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $10.69
Potential payout: $20.75
Potential profit: $10.07
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $17.24
Potential payout: $19.48
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $16.54
Potential payout: $19.12
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $12.43
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.43

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.51

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.78

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.29

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.12

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26?