Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.2%
- Current value
- $46.84
- Potential payout
- $113.83
- Potential profit
- $66.99
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- $27.03
Polymarket Trader
0xaf3d...1bfa
0xaf3d16baec91dbc6d6ce0842dc0078ade3d01bfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $80.29
- Realized PnL
- $310.01
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $6.99
- Potential payout
- $60.79
- Potential profit
- $53.8
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $11.73
- Potential payout
- $32.14
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $11.97
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $6.73
- Potential profit
- $6.16
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.79
Mexico position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.01
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.12
Spain position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.63
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
No position
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
N
No position
United States to score first vs. Belgium?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Y
Yes position
France to score first vs. Paraguay?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.13
No position
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Spain position
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Over position
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Lionel Messi: 2+ assists
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Portugal position
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 36% 0.22 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 36% 2.29 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 36% 2.28 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 12% 16.79 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 36% 0.33 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 36% 1.37 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 34% 1.44 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 34% 1.08 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 31% 0.69 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Yes 98.2% 10.05 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 98.2% 128.51 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Yes 98.1% 45.89 shares