No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $5.16K
- Potential payout
- $5.39K
- Potential profit
- $223.57
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $179.44
Polymarket Trader
0xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-1772377810273
0xaf409e50577bd9cba48378656548a2d28d1a5662
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.58K
- Realized PnL
- $412.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $249.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $35.79
No position
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $868.44
- Potential payout
- $918.99
- Potential profit
- $50.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.99
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $497.75
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $52.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $280.38
- Potential payout
- $281.22
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- User PnL
- $17.76
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $179.23
- Potential payout
- $179.86
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $95.52
- Potential payout
- $96
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $79.28
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $55.41
- Potential payout
- $55.8
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $9.68
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $47.82
- Potential payout
- $47.99
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $38.93
- Potential payout
- $45.01
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $30.74
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $24.85
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $16.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $17.58
- Potential payout
- $18.33
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $14.12
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $14.96
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $11.69
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $9.78
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.31
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.44
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.02
No position
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.19
No position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.01
No position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.82
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
No position
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
No position
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?No 99.2% 10 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 96% 43 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 96.3% 100 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 96.3% 10 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 96.2% 10 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 98.8% 9.99 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 10 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 150 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 80 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 40 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No 91% 5 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No 90% 5 shares