Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Current value
- $59.39
- Potential payout
- $152.09
- Potential profit
- $92.7
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $4.3
Polymarket Trader
Gokay
0xaf42990edb253f296801a1813270973044022448
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.35
- Realized PnL
- $238.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $22.98
- Potential payout
- $106.64
- Potential profit
- $83.66
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.4%
- Current value
- $21.34
- Potential payout
- $99.93
- Potential profit
- $78.6
- Multiplier
- 4.68x
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.94
- Potential profit
- $79.94
- User PnL
- -$15.19
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.85
- Potential profit
- $50.85
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $8.64
- Potential payout
- $15.85
- Potential profit
- $7.21
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.34
- Potential profit
- $6.34
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.58
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.82
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.64
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.59
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.82
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
Yes position
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Austria vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
Yes position
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Yes position
Will the match between Malmo FF and Galatasaray end in a draw?
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Y
Yes position
Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $4.46
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?Yes 54% 15.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?Yes 3.1% 11.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?Yes 4.5% 51.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?Yes 10.1% 63.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?Yes 6.6% 126.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 14?Yes 27.1% 33.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 14?Yes 13.9% 33.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 14?Yes 29% 6.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 13?Yes 90% 7.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 13?Yes 21% 7.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on July 13?Yes 2.5% 70.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on July 13?Yes 2.9% 70.99 shares