No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.57K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Polymarket Trader
polywanta
0xaf4ed1364c6c3d2d7a015bb5daff950578661783
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.43K
- Realized PnL
- $65.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.95K
- Potential payout
- $9.99K
- Potential profit
- $34.96
- User PnL
- $524.37
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $2.64K
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $185.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $50.48
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $830
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
No position
Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Kuniev position
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before April?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.28
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.71
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.91
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.95
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.51
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.45
No position
Will Biden pardon Hillary?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.01
No position
Kanye banned on X by Monday?
Ends Feb 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.79
Eagles position
Super Bowl LIX Winner
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.54
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.64
Lions position
Lions vs. 49ers
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 2,392 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 80% 591.19 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 3,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 2,000 shares
- UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)Brunno Ferreira 39% 3,874.44 shares
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots 32% 500 shares
- Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes 87% 67,325.58 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 99.1% 12,000 shares
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)Hanwha Life Esports 19% 1,070.98 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 94% 12,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 94.9% 1,239 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 94.8% 23,912 shares