Polymarket Trader

guccigopnik

@gucci_gopnik

0xaf635a106742f1f51cd242da7b863ba1f1e51375

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.99K
Realized PnL: $3.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $977.84
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $30.76
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$22.16

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $978.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $548.34
Potential payout: $549.16
Potential profit: $0.82
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $131.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $118.75
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$101.25

No position

Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $108.27
Potential payout: $112.14
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $93.92
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.76

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $94.81
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $8.54
Potential payout: $55.25
Potential profit: $46.71
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $22.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.18

No position

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $24.56
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.14

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $260

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.89

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.14

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.49

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.72

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.5

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.41

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.52

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.66

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.85

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.2

Yes position

MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.91

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 94.2% 500 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?

Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23?

Yes 99.9% 549.16 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 3,400 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 94% 300 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 87% 300 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 90% 500 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 19?

No 99.7% 900.25 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19?

Yes 99.6% 1,599.59 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 18?

Yes 99.9% 2,002 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 2,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 98% 102.15 shares