Polymarket Trader

0xAf6918595d1FB444177559a90248774990A61b76-1725889311973

0xaf6918595d1fb444177559a90248774990a61b76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $693.79
Realized PnL: $738.77
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75K
Potential profit: $5.75K
User PnL: -$5.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$593.54

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $653.18
Potential payout: $653.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $326.59

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.46
Potential profit: $523.46
User PnL: -$261.73

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.48
Potential profit: $418.48
User PnL: -$222.12

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.96
Potential profit: $238.96
User PnL: -$119.48

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.94
Potential profit: $169.94
User PnL: -$84.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.98
Potential profit: $161.98
User PnL: -$80.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4AM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.44
Potential profit: $142.44
User PnL: -$72.21

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $40.61
Potential payout: $103.34
Potential profit: $62.73
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$20.36

Yes position

Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.06
User PnL: -$2.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.8

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 6AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 19, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.9

No position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Maryland Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Trump sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jul 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Fed rate cut by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.06

Yes position

Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 169.94 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 50% 230.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Up 50% 323.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 161.98 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 9AM ET

Down 51% 215.86 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ET

Down 50.9% 455.25 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 6AM ET

Up 51% 218.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4AM ET

Up 50.7% 142.44 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 7AM ET

Down 51% 140.61 shares
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

No 86% 1,075.12 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 59% 103.34 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

No 71% 109.58 shares