Yes position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.07K
- Potential profit
- $9.07K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Polymarket Trader
Blase3
0xaf9ad7c113df7502932408cd7ebaa0ed42baf393
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.54K
- Realized PnL
- $690.23
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $762.84
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$176.49
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $742.11
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $42.11
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $32.09
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$409.88
Ole Miss position
Spread: Miami (-3.5)
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$20
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.56
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.61
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.72
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$800
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 171.04 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 26% 3,461.54 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 37.7% 1,855.26 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 37.9% 1,166.79 shares
- Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 5.5% 9,069.36 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Yes 7.5% 2,660.42 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 61% 1,639.34 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.8% 493 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 38.6% 493 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 80% 625 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 77.9% 641.72 shares
- Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 46.9% 1,706.86 shares