Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.7K
- Potential profit
- $23.7K
- User PnL
- -$806.72
Polymarket Trader
mark04
@mark2004a114377
0xafa23df1c3365ce1865a8614d840c318ac8991a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.65K
- Realized PnL
- $471.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- User PnL
- $4.66
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.29
- Potential profit
- $247.29
- User PnL
- -$5.48
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $114
- User PnL
- -$14.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.6
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $46.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.34
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
No position
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.04
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.9
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.99
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 99.7% 1,110 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 99.6% 237.5 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 99.6% 300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?No 99.7% 525 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?No 99.7% 400 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 25?No 99.7% 300 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on June 25?No 99.8% 14.25 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on June 25?No 99.8% 75 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?No 99.8% 58.8 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 24?Yes 97.3% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 25?No 99.7% 5.38 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 25?No 99.7% 183.4 shares