Polymarket Trader

Hiopalu

0xafa425f3d7c2aab1242b31c5fc9efb83e542ea6d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.82
Realized PnL: $61.07
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$36.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.94
Potential profit: $37.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.6
Potential profit: $26.6
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $20.99
Potential payout: $21.98
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.83
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.49

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

No 96% 20.83 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 91% 21.98 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

No 95.1% 21.03 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 97.5% 20.51 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20.6% 105.26 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Up 22% 54.55 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 14.5% 91.94 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 16.3% 91.95 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Down 36% 48.44 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Down 27.3% 48.45 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Down 23% 43.48 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Down 20% 50 shares