Polymarket Trader

Renan14comcerteza

0xafab0c88c40a051a20b553eb716763ff5636b922

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $937.79
Realized PnL: -$48.63
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $832.51
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $6.13K
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: $393.94

No position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $105.28
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$92.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.01
Potential profit: $31.01
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.46
Potential profit: $10.46
User PnL: -$1.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.22
Potential profit: $6.22
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $2.01
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76
Potential profit: $1.76
User PnL: -$0.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$39.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

No 13.4% 521.84 shares
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.5% 5,004.7 shares
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.4% 4,539.51 shares
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

No 18% 647.93 shares
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.5% 254.67 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 457.91 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 297.5 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.9% 210.53 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 1,000 shares
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 500 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.4% 160.42 shares