Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.9%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $7.46K
- Potential profit
- $5.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.38x
- User PnL
- -$37.68
Polymarket Trader
noise126trader
0xafb1cd803291e1ca69642ace32c2dddb10e10329
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.33K
- Realized PnL
- $13.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.04K
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $318.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $270.55
No position
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.7
- Potential profit
- $235.7
- User PnL
- -$117.85
No position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$114
No position
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $109.79
- Potential payout
- $168.9
- Potential profit
- $59.12
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $20.27
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.72
- Potential profit
- $122.72
- User PnL
- -$67.06
No position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.04
- Potential profit
- $117.04
- User PnL
- -$79.56
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $48.12
- Potential payout
- $111.9
- Potential profit
- $63.78
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $26.98
No position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $57.99
- Potential payout
- $88.53
- Potential profit
- $30.54
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $6.64
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $16.77
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $69.23
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $11.45
- Potential payout
- $73.9
- Potential profit
- $62.45
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
No position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.64
- Potential profit
- $70.64
- User PnL
- -$41.96
No position
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $49.38
- Potential payout
- $64.98
- Potential profit
- $15.59
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $38.63
- Potential payout
- $64.92
- Potential profit
- $26.29
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $33.23
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $31.29
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $13.23
No position
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $63.07
- Potential payout
- $63.64
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $33.16
No position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $63.31
- Potential profit
- $53.82
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$24.69
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $62.9
- Potential profit
- $59.41
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$7.83
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $58.72
- Potential payout
- $62.17
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $61.3
- Potential profit
- $61.15
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.88
No position
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $16.98
- Potential payout
- $59.6
- Potential profit
- $42.62
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$16.99
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $20.76
- Potential payout
- $59.3
- Potential profit
- $38.55
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $8.98
No position
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?
Ends Aug 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $57.74
- Potential profit
- $51.38
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$27.47
No position
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $47.48
- Potential payout
- $57.55
- Potential profit
- $10.07
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $15.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 22.6% 69 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 34.1% 639.73 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 20.6% 583.7 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 51.9% 539.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 34.6% 288.96 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 74.9% 133.54 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 33.9% 294.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 51.9% 192.69 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 44.7% 447.04 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 66.7% 149.93 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes 56% 178.59 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 39% 256.41 shares