Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $15.35
- Potential payout
- $80.79
- Potential profit
- $65.44
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$8.76
Polymarket Trader
0xafba...d271
0xafbaac93f49ed4beba0d76c1728529ce12c1d271
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $33.96
- Realized PnL
- $159.95
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.12
- Potential profit
- $61.12
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $16.9
- Potential payout
- $55.41
- Potential profit
- $38.51
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$23.1
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $44.12
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.1
- Potential profit
- $43.1
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.31
- Potential profit
- $34.31
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $34.09
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $32.99
- Potential profit
- $31.27
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$17.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.38
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.37
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $11.14
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.54
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $7.27
No position
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$8.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 13% 104.54 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 29% 103.44 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 32% 81.67 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes 59.1% 32.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 84% 33.78 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Yes 43.4% 65.78 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?Yes 29.8% 80.79 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 29% 103.45 shares
- Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?No 26% 75 shares
- Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Yes 72.2% 55.41 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 34.24 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 21% 104.55 shares