Yes position
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $13.57
- Potential payout
- $51.2
- Potential profit
- $37.63
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Polymarket Trader
kharisdirga
0xafbd966b979c3e31c0884ba19e5066f26d308446
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.97
- Realized PnL
- $15.22
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $25.81
- Potential payout
- $50.6
- Potential profit
- $24.79
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $21.1
- Potential profit
- $15.19
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Y
Yes position
Will Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $21.01
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $8.22
- Potential payout
- $20.8
- Potential profit
- $12.58
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Y
Yes position
Will American Express (AXP) Q2 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.25B?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $6.97
- Potential payout
- $20.51
- Potential profit
- $13.54
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $20.12
- Potential profit
- $18.31
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
N
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.4%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $6.86
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $6.55
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $3.38
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Triangle" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $21.74
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $19.95
Y
Yes position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.7M and 7.8M in June?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $8.2
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
N
No position
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
N
No position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.7M and 7.8M in June?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$22.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 30% 99.75 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes 14% 13.95 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 15.4% 23.38 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No 93.5% 52.57 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 71% 23.85 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes 18% 14.5 shares
- GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 5.6% 39 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?No 87.2% 15 shares
- Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.7M and 7.8M in June?Yes 9% 20.1 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 87.6% 1.13 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 87.8% 1.14 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 97.4% 1.02 shares