No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
SSD8787
0xafccf7f7a5aefcf0d4c839bff8ab07c984eafb70
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.29K
- Realized PnL
- $15.15K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.34K
- Potential profit
- $42.34K
- User PnL
- -$249.96
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.65K
- Potential profit
- $31.65K
- User PnL
- -$149.97
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.75K
- Potential profit
- $13.75K
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $6.29K
- Potential payout
- $7.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $267.39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$157.14
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$230.8
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.88K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.73K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.2% 25,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 25,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 14,285.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.3% 3,051.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 1.5% 6,646.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 11.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 65.6% 7,617.63 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes 97.1% 2,010.93 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 15% 285.71 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 70% 285.71 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes 64.6% 2,010.94 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 1.4% 8,112.77 shares