tomamate

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $73.61
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $23.61

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $319.52
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $141.38
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$58.62

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $341.44
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $141.44

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $105.07
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $191.43
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$26.4

Yes position

Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $540.92
Potential payout: $746.1
Potential profit: $205.18
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$9.08

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $297.77
Potential payout: $517.86
Potential profit: $220.09
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503.1
Potential profit: $503.1
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $74.15
Potential payout: $390.26
Potential profit: $316.11
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$25.85

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $294.55
Potential payout: $361.46
Potential profit: $66.91
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $81.29

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.02
Potential profit: $327.02
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.4%
Current value: $192.81
Potential payout: $319.49
Potential profit: $126.68
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $92.81

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $195.95
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $74.32
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$4.05

No position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $233.3
Potential payout: $263.61
Potential profit: $30.32
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $33.3

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $126.14
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $101.14
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $26.14

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.78
Potential profit: $219.78
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.27
Potential profit: $167.27
User PnL: -$14.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.72

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.18

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.72

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.02

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.46

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.98

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.06

No position

Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.69

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.47

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.07

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.65

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.32

Yes position

FC Barcelona leading at halftime?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.86

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.25

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.77

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.79

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.87

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.42

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?