Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
Polymarket Trader
opopv2
0xafde461fce5aa0fabdb7711c59db93b65e343e1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.71K
- Realized PnL
- $43.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $7.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$7.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$32.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$17.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.7
- Potential profit
- $827.7
- User PnL
- -$63.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $784.34
- Potential profit
- $780.03
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$24.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $638.17
- Potential profit
- $638.17
- User PnL
- -$94.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $621.13
- Potential profit
- $620.82
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.21
- Potential profit
- $611.21
- User PnL
- -$5.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $528.24
- Potential profit
- $528.24
- User PnL
- -$8.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526
- Potential profit
- $526
- User PnL
- -$4.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.28
- Potential profit
- $516.28
- User PnL
- -$29.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $478.92
- Potential profit
- $478.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $471.78
- Potential profit
- $471.54
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $429.09
- Potential profit
- $429.09
- User PnL
- -$5.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.69
- Potential profit
- $367.69
- User PnL
- -$3.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $360
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $336.03
- Potential profit
- $335.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.61
- Potential profit
- $323.61
- User PnL
- -$24.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $960
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $902.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $804.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $803.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $578.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.16
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?No 54% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 96% 114 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 19.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 15.7% 38.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?No 17.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?No 2% 188.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?No 1.5% 112.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 16?Yes 1.7% 430 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 16?Yes 2.1% 482.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 56% 124.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 54.5% 208 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?Yes 50.6% 46.21 shares