Polymarket Trader

hurse

0xafdf3dabb13672b7c9d42fd74b4d18ad9f471247

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.73
Realized PnL: $21.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $7.59
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.75

No position

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $1.74
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $1.48
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.76

Yes position

Circle IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Context" in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Base airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Ye divorce before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

US strikes Yemen before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

North Korea missile test by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Israel withdraws from Syria before October?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

X allowed to operate in China before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Amazon buy TikTok?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Kanye's music pulled from Spotify before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Doge ETF approved in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

TikTok on App Store again before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

No 99.7% 290 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 79% 7.59 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Yes 87% 5.75 shares
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

No 99.9% 291.48 shares
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

No 99.6% 303.86 shares
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

No 99.7% 305.6 shares
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
Will Taylor Swift mention Travis Kelce on her new album?

No 81% 1.23 shares
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Yes 96% 2.08 shares
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

No 81% 2.47 shares
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?

No 65% 1.54 shares
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?

No 98% 2.11 shares