Polymarket Trader

teamflywheel

0xafe203aea61b2df4ff3b6c759f4c0da491aab686

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $926.31
Realized PnL: $767.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.36K
Potential profit: $34.36K
User PnL: -$10.77K

No position

Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$24.68

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $149.77
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: -$216.54

No position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $847.36
Potential profit: $847.36
User PnL: -$115.33

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $833
Potential profit: $830.92
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$21.24

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $811
Potential profit: $811
User PnL: -$74.92

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $275.67
Potential payout: $417.68
Potential profit: $142.01
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$10.96

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $131.22
Potential payout: $206.64
Potential profit: $75.42
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$25.27

No position

Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $143.81
Potential payout: $197
Potential profit: $53.19
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $16.15

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $119.79
Potential payout: $147
Potential profit: $27.21
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $19.83

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$3.11

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.99
Potential profit: $106.99
User PnL: -$69.57

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$21.94

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$19.8

No position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.01
Potential profit: $89.01
User PnL: -$58.39

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$14.96

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $66.33
Potential payout: $86.7
Potential profit: $20.37
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $9.97

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$49.6

No position

Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.3
Potential profit: $60.3
User PnL: -$39.8

No position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36.98
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $17

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.44
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$19.04

No position

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$19.95

No position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$20.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.59

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.84

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $95.91

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.16

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.17

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

No position

Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.76

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

No position

Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

No position

FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

No position

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.25

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.98

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

No position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

No position

Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.93

No position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.14

No position

Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02

No position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

No 79% 6.33 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

No 74.6% 77.84 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

No 75% 36.66 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

No 68% 149.1 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

No 68% 138.11 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 46.7% 133 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 26% 267 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 142 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

No 70% 8 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

No 65% 49.19 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 73% 375 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 73% 50 shares