Polymarket Trader

DXDdarling

0xafefd1acfc4f564f8e00aafa9487bd6fd8dea8b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $224.4
Realized PnL: $2.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $36.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $163.1
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $111
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $89
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $15.37

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $10.26
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $165.18
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $56.5
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $45.98
Potential profit: $42.92
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.54
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.16

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.79

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.84

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.15

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5

Over 66% 20 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 64% 23 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 30 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 18% 11.11 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 10.7% 18.69 shares
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)

South Africa 63% 31.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19?

Down 49% 5 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Up 14% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 59% 74.14 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Up 8% 200 shares