Polymarket Trader

Guillermo6754

0xaff7191e5a693b126cc0f560d9ed779e26637b29

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.23
Realized PnL: $203.97
Win rate: 94.1%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.46
Potential profit: $443.46
User PnL: -$200

Kansas City Royals position

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.96
Potential profit: $200.96
User PnL: -$98.47

Over position

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Pistons position

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.28
Potential profit: $4.28
User PnL: -$2.14

No position

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4.03
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.58

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.31

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Gabriela Ruse position

Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Tatiana Prozorova position

Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Nets

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 45.1% 443.46 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Vitality 73% 246.58 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 80% 175 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

No 76% 131.58 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

MOUZ 78% 115.38 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Aurora Gaming 65% 92.31 shares
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse

Gabriela Ruse 89% 60.67 shares
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova

Tatiana Prozorova 89% 53.93 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

Over 59% 8.47 shares
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

Pistons 50% 4.28 shares
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 71% 2.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Down 27% 3.63 shares