Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$39.96
Polymarket Trader
0xb006...6a5c
0xb0060d3f68773602dad0b400304515b29e1f6a5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $40.45
- Realized PnL
- -$48.97
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $31.15
- Potential payout
- $479.19
- Potential profit
- $448.04
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$46.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.85
- Potential profit
- $308.85
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $161.77
- Potential profit
- $152.47
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.47
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.4% 27.03 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1.6% 125 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.2% 29.41 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 80 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.8% 321.43 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 80 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.8% 321.43 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.6% 115.38 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.6% 115.38 shares