Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.38
- Potential payout
- $25.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.38
Polymarket Trader
yhmtu
0xb018ee20d2c79faa7f2a9c9f60734fd7c816804c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.38
- Realized PnL
- $2.67
- Win rate
- 78.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Ravens position
Ravens vs. Dolphins
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Austria join NATO by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes 98.5% 25.38 shares
- Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No 99.9% 11.13 shares
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No 91% 8.55 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No 89% 5.95 shares
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 99.5% 7.84 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 92% 8.15 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes 97.7% 8.88 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.9% 6.1 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No 96.8% 3.01 shares
- Will Austria join NATO by December 31?No 98.7% 6.01 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes 94.4% 6.51 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes 95% 6.52 shares