No position
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Polymarket Trader
sablestacie804
0xb030275c5f84c2ff697984d269589f956e848d25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.44
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 91°F or higher on August 5?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 86% 90 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 3.6% 209 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 4.5% 209 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 134 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 56% 84 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 108 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 14.92 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 56% 182 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 81 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 38% 45 shares