Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $239.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Polymarket Trader
0xb032...c16c
0xb032efba6536a628f34dcb1b0c9f9ab53c59c16c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $239.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $239.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $180.01
- Potential profit
- $179.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $180.01
- Potential profit
- $179.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $159.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.34
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $127.29
- Potential profit
- $125.64
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $122.8
- Potential profit
- $122.49
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.01
- Potential profit
- $120.01
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.7
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$59.7
Yes position
Will Baidu have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.7
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.76
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.82
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.64
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.64
Yes position
Will Meituan have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.16
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Baidu have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.46
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.7
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Yes position
Will Mistral have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.52
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will Amazon have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.46
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will xAI have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.22
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Amazon have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.28
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Yes position
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.04
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $107.37
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.7
No position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $71.71
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $67.38
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $55.86
No position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $55.86
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $54.89
No position
Will SpaceX IPO on June 1, 2026 or earlier?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.81
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.19
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $43.02
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $41.89
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $36.49
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $33.49
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $32.62
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $32.14
No position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Israel hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes 9% 9.16 shares
- Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 36.9% 5.68 shares
- Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 23% 0.83 shares
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 11% 20.11 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 6% 20 shares
- Will the median home value in the US be less than $429,000 on June 30?Yes 32% 5 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?Yes 12% 10.2 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 600.0k and 650.0k on June 30?Yes 15% 9.33 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?Yes 11% 1.94 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 66% 13.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 67% 5 shares