Polymarket Trader

Petros

0xb03b4dcb1542b120e23083b6d108cb5cebe19865

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.11
Realized PnL: $43.48
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $596.7
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$74.7

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $13.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $386.2
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$83.2

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.95
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$19.95

No position

Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$52.77

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $190
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

AOC charged before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.34
Potential profit: $158.34
User PnL: -$6.43

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$42

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$11.4

No position

10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $38.96
Potential payout: $38.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.4

Yes position

Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.8

No position

Will Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.74

Yes position

Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.24

Yes position

Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

No position

Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

No position

Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.92

Yes position

Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$175.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

No 77% 38.96 shares
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 7% 300 shares
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

No 21% 100 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 600 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 24% 300 shares
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 17% 6.25 shares
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?

No 18% 100 shares
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?

Yes 3.2% 150 shares
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?

Yes 1.7% 14.24 shares
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?

Yes 1.4% 200 shares
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?

Yes 1.1% 184.35 shares