Polymarket Trader

PhoenixRogue

0xb03f3787d3c170206cca0b06f16e8595ad613a7f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.99
Realized PnL: $301.58
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $290.25
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $151
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $66.49
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.25
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.45

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.56

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.16

No position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $2.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

No 64% 50 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

No 49.6% 40 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 10 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 10 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 10 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 22.9% 200 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 60% 100 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 73% 100 shares
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

No 70% 230 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 49.2% 400 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 79% 200 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 78% 270 shares