Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $146.74
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $6.38K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Polymarket Trader
Shalomiko
0xb046d0754756402dcc24ea2fa082e17818791d31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $753.07
- Realized PnL
- $2.09K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.41K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $61.9
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$38.1
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $16.36
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$659.63
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- -$49.96
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $937.5
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $919.01
- Potential profit
- $919.01
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $834.92
- Potential profit
- $834.92
- User PnL
- -$115.55
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $583.37
- Potential profit
- $583.37
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $538.46
- Potential profit
- $538.46
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.91
- Potential profit
- $475.91
- User PnL
- -$306.01
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $50.82
- Potential payout
- $468.39
- Potential profit
- $417.57
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- -$24.59
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.5
- Potential profit
- $437.5
- User PnL
- -$140
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.81
- Potential profit
- $382.81
- User PnL
- -$303.42
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $349.41
- Potential profit
- $349.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.83
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $33.09
- Potential payout
- $315.15
- Potential profit
- $282.06
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$16.91
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $29.17
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $248.61
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$20.83
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $262.14
- Potential payout
- $265.19
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $162.14
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.87
- Potential profit
- $260.87
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.7%
- Current value
- $152.68
- Potential payout
- $255.74
- Potential profit
- $103.06
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $102.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.92
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.33
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.48
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.93
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.04
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.47
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.74
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Pelosi position
Pelosi vs. S&P - January
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Will M80 win fl0m's Mythical LAN?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.3% 173.22 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.3% 302.69 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 35% 384.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp 84.1% 5.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp 91% 27.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp 92% 5.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp 92% 5.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp 93% 5.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown 7.5% 66.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp 92% 5.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp 93% 5.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 66% 151.52 shares