No position
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $343.2
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $136.8
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$47.4
Polymarket Trader
ChoiceMeteor2520
0xb08223d6994cf79c10afc58653cbb8051ed55138
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.79K
- Realized PnL
- $2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Memory" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $440
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $202.65
- Potential payout
- $256.52
- Potential profit
- $53.87
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$10.6
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $198.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $131.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $116.1
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Justin Tootla be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.1%
- Current value
- $55.31
- Potential payout
- $106.15
- Potential profit
- $50.85
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$47.51
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$20.5
N
No position
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $90.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $76.53
- Potential payout
- $78.33
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $67.16
- Potential payout
- $74.58
- Potential profit
- $7.42
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $60.99
- Potential payout
- $61.27
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $52.8
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
N
No position
Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $36.3
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $23.7
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $58.07
- Potential payout
- $58.99
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.38
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $49.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.02
N
No position
Will Trump say "Incredible" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $38.92
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $26.95
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $24.77
- Potential payout
- $25.11
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $24.69
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Y
Yes position
Will Vinicius Jr. score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $19.73
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.49
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.12
Venezuela position
First Round Pool D: Nicaragua vs. Venezuela
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.08
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.8
Under position
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.24
Yunchaokete Bu position
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Over position
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.27
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.69
Under position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.29
Under position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.38
Club Atlético de Madrid position
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.9
Mirra Andreeva position
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.7
Antonia Ruzic position
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.53
Under position
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.75
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.12
St. Louis Cardinals position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.17
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo position
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.03
Washington Nationals position
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Pounce" during UFC 250?No 97% 20 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 15% 32.06 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 1% 10 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 15% 17.94 shares
- Will Trump say "CIA" this week?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during UFC 250?Yes 1% 10 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 1.5% 58.3 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 1.7% 50 shares
- Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during UFC 250?No 98% 25 shares
- Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during UFC 250?No 98% 40 shares
- Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during UFC 250?No 98% 20 shares
- Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes 1.2% 100 shares