Polymarket Trader

padizo

0xb085e4684f0d4f939832c7066a0da2473e4836a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.47K
Realized PnL: $4.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $45.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.95K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $15.71
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$126

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $163.03
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: -$35.97

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $69.13
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $102.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.2%
Current value: $603.61
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $575.31
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $533.61

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $67
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$9.63

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36.4%
Current value: $292.34
Potential payout: $803.13
Potential profit: $510.79
Multiplier: 2.75x
User PnL: $232.34

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $23.02
Potential payout: $697.45
Potential profit: $674.43
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$26.98

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $77.63
Potential payout: $618.56
Potential profit: $540.93
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $17.63

9z position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.18
Potential profit: $443.18
User PnL: -$190

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.56
Potential profit: $102.56
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $92.83
Potential profit: $90.41
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$11.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.70 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.14

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.31

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.80 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.89

No position

Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.94

No position

Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.55

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.12

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.95

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.46

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.60 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.16

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

Grizzlies position

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.3

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.21

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.14

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.91

Yes position

Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.76

Silver position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.11

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $24.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.52

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.37

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9z 33% 151.52 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9z 48% 145.83 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9z 48% 145.83 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 875.07 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 214.29 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 618.56 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 2,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 1,750 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 1,666.67 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 5,000 shares