Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $9.01
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Polymarket Trader
OxB09cA43bfDA48d9fd2E15e06d9eE6c91E0540B38
0xb09ca43bfda48d9fd2e15e06d9ee6c91e0540b38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $299.26
- Realized PnL
- $12.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.17
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $40.86
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $22.47
Yes position
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.46
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $141.67
- Potential payout
- $143.03
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $19.94
- Potential payout
- $20.26
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
N
No position
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
N
No position
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No 95% 5.16 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 98% 5.09 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?No 99.7% 5.01 shares
- Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?No 99.9% 4.99 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.5% 5.02 shares
- Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 0.5% 3,602.18 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.1% 5.04 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.1% 5.04 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.1% 5.04 shares
- Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?No 91.5% 5 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.1% 5.04 shares