Polymarket Trader

mnemonik

0xb0affa106528eba5ef07add22ddfcd2858da95d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $7.69
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.83
Potential profit: $265.83
User PnL: -$3.19

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.82
Potential profit: $59.82
User PnL: -$9.99

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.67
Potential profit: $30.67
User PnL: -$4.49

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Trump say "abortion" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich beat Dinamo Zagreb?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Liverpool beat Bologna?

Ends Oct 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?

Ends Sep 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 10% 100 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Yes 45% 98.35 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Yes 51% 98.35 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

PARIVISION 41% 24.39 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

FURIA 62% 32.26 shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

MOUZ 61.6% 30.16 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 26% 71.42 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 28% 71.43 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

No 16.7% 59.82 shares
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?

Yes 12% 29.08 shares
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Yes 70% 4.98 shares
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

No 1.2% 265.83 shares