Polymarket Trader

Prof-Jiang

0xb0b55f0708d9c8daf958cdedca5acfcc2ccccd01

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.97K
Realized PnL: $4.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $262.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.74K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $9.7K
Potential profit: $8.39K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.48K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $4.19K
User PnL: -$976.16

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $393.95
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$184.34

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$660

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$125

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$450

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.5
Potential profit: $833.5
User PnL: -$517.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $616.13
Potential profit: $616.13
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.93
Potential profit: $84.93
User PnL: -$47.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.05

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.79

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.52

No position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" during trophy presentation?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.28

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during trophy presentation?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.44

No position

Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.38

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.59

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.47

No position

Will Vance say "Epic Fury" during his Rocky Mount visit?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Where are you" during trophy presentation?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.1

No position

Will Trump say "Kharg Island" during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.2

No position

Will Trump say "Gold" during trophy presentation?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.3

Yes position

Will "Bomb" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.96

Yes position

Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Yes position

Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 6% 3,100 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 13.9% 4,146.8 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 1.4% 3,330 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

No 85% 556.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 28.7% 695.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 53.1% 471.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Down 55.6% 84.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 26.9% 372.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 41% 243.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Down 67.4% 148.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Down 99% 101.01 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 6% 3,330 shares