Polymarket Trader

MMIWW

0xb0ba5c67366b081a92558daa05ead0b7cc78b3f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.84K
Realized PnL: $5.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $801.89
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $617.63
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$105.93

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $144.37
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $98.17

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $84.71
Potential payout: $703
Potential profit: $618.29
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$31.99

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $625.26
Potential payout: $639.97
Potential profit: $14.72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $572.77
Potential payout: $609.65
Potential profit: $36.88
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $24.07

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $547.01
Potential payout: $576.71
Potential profit: $29.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $8.45
Potential payout: $412
Potential profit: $403.55
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $83.75
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $166.24
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $138
User PnL: -$51.06

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $88
User PnL: -$55.44

Yes position

Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $31.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $48.8
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $41.04
Potential payout: $66.73
Potential profit: $25.69
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Argentina record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.1
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$6.9

No position

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $15.29
Potential payout: $16.9
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.07

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.06

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.86

Yes position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.12

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.76

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.03

No position

Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.25

Yes position

Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.78

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.68

No position

Will Trump declare war on Iran before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.75

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.54

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.94

No position

US x Iran ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.2

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.95

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.67

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.08

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.02

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.41

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.9

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.46

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.79

No position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.47

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 95% 42.29 shares
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37% 199.52 shares
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 70% 420 shares
Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 80 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 5,000 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Yes 12% 400 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Yes 15% 46.35 shares
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

No 95.8% 146 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

No 98% 427 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 93.1% 652 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?

Yes 20.1% 11 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?

Yes 20.2% 38 shares