skolo

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $435.7
Potential payout: $67.03K
Potential profit: $66.59K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $77.02

Yes position

Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $180.06
Potential payout: $27.7K
Potential profit: $27.52K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$224.8

Yes position

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $176.73
Potential payout: $23.56K
Potential profit: $23.39K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$323.26

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $147.97
Potential payout: $22.76K
Potential profit: $22.62K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$236.29

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $10.2K
Potential profit: $8.21K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$75.91

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $7.86K
Potential profit: $5.93K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $245.05

Yes position

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $26
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $317.5
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$125.59

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $976.5
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $935
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $990.5
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $991.5
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $32.27
Potential payout: $911.56
Potential profit: $879.29
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$17.47

Gael Monfils position

Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.23
Potential profit: $499.23
User PnL: -$198.8

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90.45
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.75
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.45
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $88.54
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $6.42
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $24.58
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $30.01
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.73
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.46
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.93

No position

Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $93.48

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.9%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.43

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.99

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$26.16

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.79

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46.61

No position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$63.78

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?