Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.14
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Polymarket Trader
achio
0xb0c3d26ead947ac1a110b56e5e5e5923d5ca0b92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.86
- Realized PnL
- $92.3
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump’s remarks not air?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.56
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $21.3
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.42
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $2.17
N
No position
Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.22
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.2%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.89
- Multiplier
- 3.21x
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $8.75
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.79
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $7.09
- Potential profit
- $5.87
- Multiplier
- 5.82x
- User PnL
- $0.22
N
No position
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $5.65
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 9.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $4.6
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
N
No position
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
No position
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?No 11.4% 8.75 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?No 20% 5 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?No 10% 10 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 14.1% 7.09 shares
- Will Trump’s remarks not air?Yes 3.5% 28.57 shares
- Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?No 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes 29.7% 20.17 shares
- Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No 21.7% 4.6 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No 9% 11.11 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?No 7% 14.29 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 9% 11.11 shares
- Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?No 12% 8.33 shares