No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.58
- Potential profit
- $114.58
- User PnL
- -$110
Polymarket Trader
srtghes
0xb0cee35c8d37cb2271ac81d7688f4c76ab781741
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.33
- Realized PnL
- $38.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.71
- Potential profit
- $26.71
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.47
- Potential profit
- $24.47
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $17.44
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.89
- Potential payout
- $14.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.23
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will JT Poston win the 2026 The American Express tournament?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will BNB dip to $200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will BNB reach $1,100 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 85.3% 18.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96% 114.58 shares
- Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 14.89 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 95% 126.32 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 83.9% 113.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.2% 67.16 shares
- Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?No 90% 21.33 shares
- Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes 86% 21.16 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No 99.5% 17.5 shares
- Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes 94% 24.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 89.3% 67.17 shares
- Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes 84.3% 26.71 shares