No position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $637
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7
Polymarket Trader
lisear
0xb0e31535ae9166baef870d571060975a4ca0c961
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $974.14
- Realized PnL
- $511.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $337.14
- Potential payout
- $351.37
- Potential profit
- $14.23
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.28
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.49
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.7
No position
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.09
N
No position
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.68
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.03
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.69
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.46
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
No position
Ethereum all time high by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $12.48
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.66
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Knicks position
Pacers vs. Knicks
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 96.1% 351.37 shares
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?No 93% 338.22 shares
- OKX IPO in 2026?No 90% 700 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 949 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.1% 949 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.6% 934.71 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No 99.4% 129 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?No 99.5% 724.7 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No 98.8% 850.7 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 511.02 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 334 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 334 shares