No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0xB0Eafa156D912c1247802944AdFe2a813e22837A-1773756907470
0xb0eafa156d912c1247802944adfe2a813e22837a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.2
- Realized PnL
- $3.22
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $52.5
- Potential profit
- $52.32
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$8.85
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $15.02
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $5.98
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 55% 90.91 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes 45% 4.44 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 71% 7.04 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 90% 5.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp 78% 2.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp 45% 2.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown 2% 49.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp 77% 1.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown 52% 1.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown 78% 1.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp 55% 1.76 shares