Y
Yes position
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Polymarket Trader
0xb0f1...910b
0xb0f19438b52cf1b09d76145ae90363450ca0910b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $48.35
- Realized PnL
- -$2.86
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $7.75
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $7.61
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $7.6
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $5.49
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $3.27
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.83
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?Yes 47% 9 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 43% 8 shares
- Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?Yes 26% 6.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No 45% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 70.2% 7.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 71.4% 7.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 36% 7.5 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?No 33% 7 shares
- Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 56% 8.14 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 73% 2.53 shares